Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.458408 0.503872 0.552648 0.608996 0.672452 0.741880 0.823829
2025-10-26 0.385322 0.448569 0.521332 0.611775 0.721929 0.852688 1.021077
2025-11-02 0.344389 0.416537 0.503531 0.617247 0.763588 0.947799 1.200795
2025-11-09 0.307110 0.382401 0.476513 0.604448 0.776418 1.003365 1.331981
2025-11-16 0.285215 0.364306 0.466357 0.610033 0.810941 1.087854 1.509182
2025-11-23 0.263665 0.344104 0.450731 0.605432 0.829310 1.149923 1.659849
2025-11-30 0.248196 0.330377 0.442058 0.608699 0.857778 1.227745 1.841973
2025-12-07 0.231269 0.313098 0.426708 0.600405 0.867498 1.277279 1.984378
2025-12-14 0.216615 0.297818 0.412790 0.592562 0.876391 1.325316 2.128970
2025-12-21 0.200182 0.278802 0.391964 0.572301 0.863503 1.336321 2.210285
2025-12-28 0.193555 0.273623 0.391089 0.582485 0.899839 1.431413 2.452525
2026-01-04 0.186860 0.267832 0.388750 0.589907 0.931892 1.521980 2.698409
2026-01-11 0.179538 0.260768 0.384162 0.593611 0.958502 1.606823 2.948221
2026-01-18 0.172509 0.253734 0.379147 0.596182 0.983336 1.691174 3.210481
2026-01-25 0.166658 0.248152 0.375998 0.601488 1.013260 1.787944 3.513679
2026-02-01 0.157691 0.237085 0.363217 0.589082 1.009363 1.818565 3.676845
2026-02-08 0.152890 0.232456 0.360720 0.594496 1.039198 1.919178 4.014848
2026-02-15 0.146604 0.225042 0.353084 0.590036 1.049494 1.980715 4.270986
2026-02-22 0.142131 0.220378 0.349803 0.593202 1.074874 2.076526 4.627571
2026-03-01 0.136040 0.212691 0.340865 0.585163 1.076926 2.121959 4.863899
2026-03-08 0.130426 0.205543 0.332476 0.577560 1.079143 2.167869 5.109670
2026-03-15 0.123243 0.195393 0.318287 0.557916 1.054574 2.150298 5.179215
2026-03-22 0.121078 0.193807 0.319267 0.567791 1.093485 2.284307 5.701308